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Peridot Capital Management LLC

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Based in Seattle, WA
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Peridot Capital Management LLC

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Goldman Bullish on Oil, But Why?

March 31, 2005 Chad Brand, Peridot Capital Management LLC
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Just like I took the "over" for the Wildcats (70 points) when Arizona faced Illinois in the NCAA Tournament Elite 8 last weekend, I'm going to take the "over" again on the number of energy stocks Goldman Sachs (GS) owns. Today's $1+ jump in crude prices is being attributed to Goldman's bullish note today that they see a "super spike" in oil prices on the horizon. Previously, GS had said they thought oil could hit $80 per barrel in such a scenario, but that number was lifted to $105 today, sparking much conversation on the Street.

Call me crazy, but I think the Goldman call had more to do with boosting the stocks they own, rather than some meaningful change in oil fundamentals they saw change overnight. After peaking at $57 or so, oil futures fell $5 fairly quickly in March, leading to a correction in the sector's shares. By raising their already overly bullish view, this slide would quickly turnaround, stopping the losses from their energy holdings and allowing them to unload some stock at favorable prices if they were so inclined.

In energy and industrials
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Peridot Capital Management LLC is a registered investment advisor in the states of Maryland, Texas, and Washington. The firm may not transact business in states where it is not registered or exempted from registration. In most states, the firm is exempt from registration if it has fewer than six clients who are residents of that state. As a result, Peridot Capital Management LLC is free to provide services to residents of every state and applies for registration as required. Individualized responses to persons that involve either the effecting of transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, will not be made without registration or exemption.

The content published on our blog represents the opinions of Mr. Brand and he and/or his clients may hold positions in securities discussed. Such positions will be disclosed at the time of publication, although subsequent changes to those positions will be made without notification. The information contained in blog posts is believed to be accurate when published, however, mistakes could be made. As a result, do not rely on the content exclusively for your investment due diligence. The commentaries published do not constitute investment advice, as readers’ personal investment goals and risk tolerances will dictate which investments are appropriate for them. Our blog is meant to be one of many sources for readers to conduct their own research into specific investments. Consult an investment professional before acting solely on information found on this site. If you do not have an investment professional to work with, you may contact Peridot Capital Management LLC directly.